Market Cycles

  1. 4.5k
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    The Central Banks have lost control of the Mkts, Stocks still falling after FED 100point rate cut over last weekend.
    Hole in the bucket , negative rates ,Overseas holders of Treasuries jumping ship,only Banksters solution is to keep filling the bucket to no avail .
    They need to put a stop to the leak. which will require Political Change and cooperation, good luck with that happening.

    4 likes
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    The New York Stock Exchange will temporarily close the trading floors and move fully to electronic trading beginning Monday due to the coronavirus outbreak.

    Nearly every asset class - stocks, bonds, gold, oil - came under siege as investors fled to the safety of cash. The weeks-long panic has hollowed out a big chunk of the stock gains from the bull market and erased virtually all of the equity advances under the Trump presidency.

    https://www.smh.com.au/business/markets/wall-street-trading-suspended-as-stocks-plunge-on-recession-fears-20200319-p54bk2.html

    3 likes
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    President Donald Trump promised to keep pushing for more federal spending until the economy recovers from the coronavirus outbreak, and said Americans can expect “much more” than $1,000 checks from the government.

    He said at a White House news conference on Friday that if “there’s not enough money” in a stimulus bill currently under debate in Congress, “we’ll do something later, I’m sure.”

    Trump and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin have advocated for the bill to include direct payments to American families.

    “We’re not talking about a thousand dollar check, we’re talking about much more than that,” he said.
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-20/trump-promises-federal-aid-until-economy-recovers-from-virus?utm_content=business&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&cmpid=socialflow-twitter-business

    1 like
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    Meanwhile, Trump administration is crippling Iran with further severe economic sanctions imposed this week. Iran is pleading to the world as covid-19 runs rampant with 1 person dying & 50 getting infected every 10 mins.

    1 like
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    Hedge Funds getting taken out. Berkshire Hathaway down $70bill on its top 10 holdings, Ray Dalios Bridgewater down $4trill
    A hedge fund founded by former Goldman Sachs Group Inc. traders to wager on volatility in stock prices is winding down after the recent market turmoil.

    Malachite Capital Management, a New York-based firm that oversees about $600 million, plans to dissolve its funds, the firm said in a statement Tuesday, citing extreme adverse market conditions of recent weeks. The firm, founded by ex-Goldman Sachs traders Jacob Weinig and Joe Aiken, had received margin calls from counterparties including BNP Paribas SA after its trades went awry, people familiar with the matter said.
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-17/malachite-capital-to-wind-down-funds-amid-market-volatility

    2 likes
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    Fed goes all in on QE to infinity.
    Dow drops 3% , Gold up 7%.
    Dow at level of Trumps election victory day.

    1 like
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    The $16 trillion U.S. mortgage market -- epicenter of the last global financial crisis -- is suddenly experiencing its worst turmoil in more than a decade, setting off alarms across the financial industry and prompting the Federal Reserve to intervene.

    Unlike last time, risky mortgages aren’t the cause. Instead, the coronavirus pandemic is threatening to make good loans go bad -- and simultaneously sapping the market’s funding. There are fears that government efforts to shore up borrowers and financing won’t be enough and that mortgage and property investors again face massive losses.
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-24/mortgage-bonds-rattle-wall-street-anew-with-rush-of-urgent-sales?srnd=premium

    1 like
  9. 68.7k
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    Not Like Any Other Recession | Before & After | Refinitiv
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uj5zlS88SxY

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    Dow closed up 11.37% ... once in a lifetime gain ...

    https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/US/DJIA

    Dow Soars More Than 11% In Biggest One-Day Jump Since 1933

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-3-24-2020-11585012632

    2 likes
  12. 68.7k
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    so when will the next biggest fall be ( still 3 trading days left in the week )

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    As it's been said, " buy the dip's and sell the rips! "

    2 likes
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    ABN Amro customers will no longer be able to put their money into physical gold, silver or platinum.

    The bank will discontinue these three investment products next Friday.

    If customers don't sell, they will liquidate for them at prevailing prices

    @roysebag

    I’ve received some important information relating to what’s going on in Gold markets. Today, some banks failed to deliver physical in the comex bar EFP. As a result, these banks suffered large losses which will soon be announced. They’ve also decided to exit the comex market

    1 like
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    Dollar funding stress keeps rising despite global currency swap arrangements and amidst global stock market rally. Libor OIS spread rises to 117bps, highest risk level since GFC.

    1 like
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    Fed balance sheet moves up to $5.254 trillion, a new high. In the last week it increased $586 billion, the largest weekly increase ever (prior record was $356 billion last week, and before that $292 billion from Sep 24-Oct 1 in 2008).

    1 like
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    Another market cycle on the turn.
    The story of the relationship between Sigmund Freud and his American nephew, Edward Bernays. Bernays invented the public relations profession in the 1920s and was the first person to take Freud's ideas to manipulate the masses. He showed American corporations how they could make people want things they didn't need by systematically linking mass-produced goods to their unconscious desires.

    Bernays was one of the main architects of the modern techniques of mass-consumer persuasion, using every trick in the book, from celebrity endorsement and outrageous PR stunts, to eroticising the motorcar.

    His most notorious coup was breaking the taboo on women smoking by persuading them that cigarettes were a symbol of independence and freedom. But Bernays was convinced that this was more than just a way of selling consumer goods. It was a new political idea of how to control the masses. By satisfying the inner irrational desires that his uncle had identified, people could be made happy and thus docile.

    It was the start of the all-consuming self which has come to dominate today's world.

    2 likes
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